Make The Minimum Wage A 2014 Campaign Issue

What’s
Wrong Today
:


The minimum wage was last
increased in 2007
by huge bi-partisan majorities. George W. Bush was
president, and the House and Senate were controlled by the Democrats. In the
Senate, only 3 Republicans voted against the bill, Messrs. Coburn
(R-OK), Kyl (R-AZ) and DeMint (R-SC), while 2 Democrats did not vote: Messrs.
Schumer (D-NY) and Johnson (D-SD). The bill passed 94-3.


In the House, the bill passed by 315-116, with all 233 Democrats voting
for it along with 84 Republicans, while 116 Republicans voted “no”. Today’s
Senate is different. Only 22 of the 45 Republicans who voted for the bill
in 2007 are still in the Senate
, while Think Progress reports
that 67 House Republicans who voted for it in 2007 are still house members.


This year, it seems unlikely that there are sufficient votes to bring the
$10.10 minimum wage bill to the floor of the Senate, while the Republican House
leaders say they have no intention of voting on the legislation, even if passed
by the Senate.


President Obama and
congressional Democrats support an increase to $10.10, indexed to inflation.
Republicans plan to obstruct this. Indeed,
Republican governors called
out
the minimum wage at the National
Governors Association
meeting at the White House, with several governors
indicating that they opposed increasing the minimum wage in their home states. Mr.
Obama to the govs:


Even when there is
little appetite in Congress to move on some of these priorities, at the state
level you guys are governed by practical considerations. You want to do right
by your people and you see how good policy impacts your citizens, and you see
how bad policy impacts your citizens, and that means that there’s less room for
posturing and politics, and more room for getting stuff done


Reply from Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-LA):


The Obama economy
is now the minimum wage economy. I think we can do better than that


So, what’s different today from the environment in 2007? Republicans
now hate the minimum wage increase. Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) said the
following
to CNN after Mr. Obama’s SOTU speech:


I have never been a fan of that idea. [He voted against it in 2007] I think it is inflationary. I think
it actually is counterproductive in many ways. You end up costing jobs from
people who are at the bottom rung of the economic ladder.


Can raising the minimum wage be a defining political battle of the
2014 elections? Big
majorities of voters in both parties want the minimum wage raised. As the Wrongologist reported in December, when the public can vote on minimum
wage increases, they pass handily:


Nineteen states
(plus DC) have set their own, higher minimums, ranging from $7.35 in Missouri
to $9.19 in Washington State. Some cities and counties have gone even higher —
San Francisco’s minimum wage, for example, is set to rise 19 cents to $10.74 next month


Even in
New Jersey, where voters re-elected Republican Chris Christie as governor, the
minimum wage was increased to $8.25, and indexed it to inflation, by 61% to 39%
of the voters.


Polls show
public support for an increased minimum wage: A December 11 Wall
Street Journal/NBC News poll
found that 63% supported a rise to $10.10:


Support for the
$10.10 rate was broad, including 61% of those earning $75,000 or more and 68%
of those earning $30,000 or less. The survey found 77% of Democrats supported
that rate, as did 47% of Republicans


Here are a
few more polls: A November Gallup
poll

showed that 76% of Americans want the minimum wage raised to at least $9 from
the current $7.25. This is up 5 percentage points just since March. An August poll by the National
Employment Law Project (NELP) found that 80%
support raising the minimum
wage to $10.10
,
including 62% of Republicans and 75% of southern whites. A March poll by the
USA Today/Pew Research Center
found that 71% favor increasing the
minimum wage to $9.


Making the minimum wage a national election issue could succeed. Republicans will have to decide: Will they obstruct a vote on the
minimum wage and run in 2014 as opponents of fair pay for working people?


The
current salary (2013) for rank-and-file members of the House and Senate is
$174,000 per year. If you broke that down to a 40 hour work week and 52 weeks a
year then they would make $83.65 per hour.


You know
they don’t work 40 hours per week, and certainly not 52 weeks per year. BUT all
of the House Republicans tell you that you can live on $7.25 per hour.


Republicans will continue
to push the nonsense that joblessness will result from a higher minimum wage, as
did Mr. Ryan above. In fact, more consumer demand via a higher minimum wage
means more jobs. Raising the federal
minimum wage means all businesses must do the same thing at the same time, so
no business gains an advantage over other businesses
.


Businesses can
decide how to cover their added costs. Some might raise prices, others might
pay top executives a bit less, and others would dip into some of the excess
cash. Companies that raise prices so top executives can retain their pay will
be at a disadvantage if their competitors don’t raise prices.


Raising
take home pay will not hurt our (now) growing economy; it will help it move
ahead.


Let’s
force Congressional Republicans to tell voters why they think a higher minimum
wage is a bad idea.

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It’s OK For The Police To Spy On Muslims In New Jersey

What’s
Wrong Today
:


Last
Thursday, William Martini, a US District Judge, ruled that the New York Police
Department’s (NYPD) surveillance
of Muslim Americans
in New Jersey was a lawful effort to prevent terrorism,
not a civil-rights violation.


In a decision
in federal court in Newark, NJ, Judge Martini dismissed a lawsuit brought in
2012 by eight Muslims who alleged that the NYPD’s
surveillance program
was unconstitutional because it focused on religion,
national origin and race. Their suit accused the department of spying on
ordinary people at mosques, restaurants and schools in New Jersey since 2002.


Martini
said he was not convinced the plaintiffs were targeted
solely because of their religion
:


The more likely
explanation for the surveillance was to locate budding terrorist conspiracies…The
police could not have monitored New Jersey for Muslim terrorist activities
without monitoring the Muslim community itself


But
as Samuel Bagenstos, a law professor at the University of Michigan and former
official in the civil rights division of the Justice Department, told MSNBC’s Adam Serwer, that’s not the way it works:


A
police department cannot specifically target African-Americans for surveillance
on the ground that the department is seeking to identify crime within the black
community


The ruling
also singled out the Associated Press, which sparked the lawsuit with a series of stories
based on confidential NYPD documents showing how the department sought to
infiltrate and surveil at least 20 mosques, 14 restaurants, 11 retail stores,
two grade schools, and two Muslim student associations in New Jersey. The
NYPD’s spying on daily life in Muslim communities in the region – with no
probable cause, and nothing to show for it – was exposed in a Pulitzer-Prize winning series by the AP.


The Judge’s
logic is that the reporters for AP, Adam Goldman and Matt Apuzzo, were
responsible for any injuries to the Muslim community by providing them proof of
the spying targeted at them. Here is a quote from Judge Martin’s opinion: (emphasis
by the Wrongologist)


Nowhere in the
complaint do the plaintiffs allege that they suffered harm prior to the
unauthorized release of documents by The Associated Press…This confirms that
plaintiffs’ alleged injuries flow from the
Associated Press’s unauthorized disclosure of the documents
…The Associated
Press covertly obtained the materials and published them without authorization.
Thus the injury, if any existed, is not fairly traceable to the city


The
most impressive thing that jumps out in the opinion is Judge Martini asserting,
not once but twice, that AP had published or released “without authorization”. Is it naive to think that a US
District Court judge would have heard of the First Amendment to the US
Constitution?


It appears
that Judge Martini actually hit a weird kind of trifecta: In one decision, he gets the 1st,
4th and 14th Amendments wrong, and maybe sets a record of some kind by getting
the 1st Amendment wrong three times. That would be Freedom of Religion,
Freedom of Association and Freedom of the Press.


OK, think
about it. By Judge Martini’s reasoning, you live on a farm, and you notice a
poacher on your neighbor’s farm. When you reveal this information to your neighbor,
he then sues the poacher for damages. The poacher’s defense is that you are responsible
for the damages since you disclosed the poaching that resulted in the lawsuit
against the poacher.


And to Judge Martini, this makes sense. Martini is a one-term Republican congressman from New
Jersey. He was appointed to the federal bench by George W. Bush in 2002.
Previous critiques of his judicial conduct have been unusually blunt and
public, including repeated rebukes at the appellate level and the local US
attorney’s describing him in court filings as “misguided” and “irrational.”


In other
words, this fool, who was appointed by another fool who was appointed by the US
Supreme Court, has again acted like a fool. Maybe we shouldn’t be surprised.


Omar
Sacirbey of the Religion News Service quotes
Hina Shamsi of the American Civil Liberty Union, about this case:


putting
a class of Americans under surveillance based on their religion is a clear violation
of our Constitution’s guarantees of equality and religious freedom…The NYPD’s
surveillance program has stigmatized Muslims as suspect and had deeply negative
effects on their free speech, association, and religious practice


But the NYPD
wasn’t hunting for Muslim terrorists in places where the 9/11 terrorists were
known to hang out, like cheap hotels, gyms, and cybercafes. Rather, the NYPD
was hunting terrorists in schools in Newark, including one that taught Muslim girls
in fifth to twelfth grades, and another teaching first through fourth graders.


The NYPD
was hunting terrorists in a girl’s school. Was the 9/11 plan hatched in a girl’s
school?


Sadly, the nature of the republic for which we stand is changing. This court’s decision gives
legal sanction to the targeted discrimination of a minority, in this case Muslims, anywhere and
everywhere in this country, without limitation, for no other reason than their
religion.

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Sunday Cartoon Blogging – February 23, 2104.

Sochi tries to dominate the week’s news, but
Ukraine steals the headlines, pushing the Pussy Riot whipping by Russia’s
modern Cossacks off the front page.



Western bureaucrats and politicians work to
figure out if Ukraine is another proxy war between Putin and Obama, like Syria
and Iran, or an organic response to another autocrat’s excesses.



On the home front, Tom Delay tells the
nation that our Constitution was written by his god. A snake handling preacher,
who believed his god would protect him from snake bite, dies from a snake bite.
We learn that John Boehner has been against raising the minimum wage since
1996. We learn from a Bush-appointed judge that it is perfectly fine for the
NYPD to spy on Muslim girls in a grade school in New Jersey, but not OK for the
AP to reveal it.

We met with Iran to flesh out the nuclear weapons deal, with
modest progress, and with more hysteria from Israel. The UN orders the warring
parties in Syria to stop blocking the delivery of humanitarian aid, but without
any prospect of punishment for those who disobey.



We live in times that cry out for solutions,
but none will be forthcoming in Washington this year. Politicians on both sides
think ANY KIND of political action creates risk for their reelection this fall.
So, the only deal they will make is no deal at all. You can’t have better days, but you will get exhortations for more money from the congress critter who is doing nothing for you.



Use the following, adapted from Henry
Demarest Lloyd, as the inspiration for this Sunday’s homily: If our civilization is destroyed, it will
not be by barbarians at our gates. Our barbarians will come from inside, and above
.



Be
sure you know the difference between these on Sunday:

The games are not always between Olympians:

And America still sucks at curling:

Canadian Men, following Canadian Women, beat US 1-0:

Congressional do-nothings should only get merit pay:

Photo taken in Aleppo on February 16, 2014:


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Limited Blogging

There will be limited to zero blogging until late Sunday, when Sunday Cartoon Blogging will be published.

The Wrongologist and Ms. Oh So Right are escaping 20″ of snow and heading to Florida for a long weekend.

No salt, no shovel, no snow blower.

Well, maybe some salt on the rim of the margarita…

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Student Debt Continues to Grow

What’s
Wrong Today
:


According
to the Federal Reserve Bank
of NY
(FRBNY), student loan balances increased by $53 billion in the 4th
quarter of 2013, and totaled $114 billion for the year, ending at $1.08
trillion. Student loans now make up 9.4% of total consumer debt and 36.7% of
non-housing debt.

As the Wrongologist said last April, student loans are growth
market
.


In 2003,
student loans accounted for 3.1% of total consumer debt and 12.2% of
non-housing debt. So, student loans have more than tripled in 10
years. It looks like student loans could bankrupt a
generation, not to mention really affect their credit scores. Most students in debt will need to use the best credit cards to build credit before even thinking about taking out another loan like a mortgage.


It’s
obvious that growing student debt is hurting not just those who attended
college or who have graduated. It also impacts any relatives who may have co-signed
for a student loan. Many look to UniTaskr and similar job desks to get jobs during their degrees to help repay the debts, and those graduates who do have jobs must also give top priority to
servicing their college debts, which means they must defer certain life
experiences, like buying a home, or getting married, or starting a family. Services like BenefitEd are avaliable to help you, but more needs to be done to prevent this problem!


Consider
this: Researchers at the FRBNY did their
own analysis
of the student debt problem’s impact. From 2009 to 2012, the home ownership rate fell twice as much for
30-year-olds who had a history of student loans
than it did for those
without such debt. The finding upends traditional thinking, which
held that student debt signaled higher earnings and higher chances of owning a
home.


Why is
this happening? Tuition has skyrocketed since 1980. Students are getting a
similar education as before, but at a much higher price. And afterwards,
they’re left with a mountain of debt. It is possible to consolidate your debts into one more manageable loan, like what is offered by debtconsolidation.loans.


Consider
the relative growth in inflation of college costs:




It
is a value judgment if today’s students are getting better (or more) education for
their money. It is not a value judgment that the jobs market is offering less
to someone with a college degree. As the chart below shows, median income for
those with a bachelor’s degree has fallen since 2003. Graphing median income
vs. student debt shows a very depressing gap has appeared since 2003:



Student debt is the symptom, not the problem. The real problems
are soaring costs of a college education and the sharply declining real-world
value of a diploma.


It
is true that at public colleges and universities, tuition has risen due in part
due to the states shifting funding away from their university systems. Other reasons
include the fact that it takes longer
to complete a degree today than in the past, so the borrowing goes on
for longer:

  • Only
    37% of freshman at 4-year colleges graduate in four years
  • 59%
    of full-time students at 4-year institutions graduate within 6 years


Also,
non-teaching positions have grown faster than teaching positions. According to
an analysis released this month by the New England Center for Investigative Reporting,
(NECIR) from 1987 until 2011-12, the most recent academic year for which comparable
figures are available, universities and colleges collectively added 517,636
administrators and professional employees. The ratio of nonacademic employees
to faculty has also doubled. There are now two nonacademic employees at public
and two-and-a-half at private universities and colleges for every one
full-time, tenure-track member of the faculty.


NECIR also reported that
the number of employees in central system offices has increased six-fold since
1987, and the number of administrators in them by a factor of more than 34.


With all
this borrowing by students, student loan delinquencies have increased rapidly.
They were around 6% in 2005, but they were 11.5% at the end of 2013.


American debtors
have always leaned heavily on credit cards. Therefore, credit card
delinquencies have always been highest category of past due debt, usually
ranging between 8.5% and 10.2%. They spiked to 13.7% during the Great Recession
before dropping again. In Q3, 2012, student
loan delinquencies exceeded credit card delinquencies for the first time
.
Since then, the gap has widened, with credit card delinquencies at 9.5% and
student loan delinquencies at 11.5%.


As bad as
that sounds, real student delinquencies are worse than that. Many student borrowers
don’t have to make any payments while they are in school. So if the delinquency
rate were calculated based on those borrowers who have made payments as a
percentage of those who should be
making payments, the delinquency rate would be considerably higher.


It may not
be an exaggeration to call our student loan situation another subprime debacle waiting to happen. Here’s why: In
the below 30 age group, 38% of the borrowers had credit scores of under 621,
and 29% had scores between 621 and 680. And it is at that lower end of the
credit spectrum where student loans grew the most during the
year:




(HELOC
means Home Equity Line of Credit)


These
borrowers, who are at the low end of the creditworthiness spectrum, are least likely to pay off the debt they
took on in order to attend schools that have often leave them unprepared
for today’s job market, assuming they can even find a job in today’s tough job
market.


And these lucky duckies can’t even use
bankruptcy to create a clean slate
!
We should remember
that by law, student loan debt is treated differently than other kinds of
consumer debt. Among the differences:

  • Student loan debt is not dissolved
    in bankruptcy

  • Student loan lenders can garnish
    Social Security benefits without a court order


These “enhancements”
were passed in successive versions of the Higher Education Act over the past 15
years. The fact that the banking
industry lobbied for the ability to garnish SS benefits tells you they expected
high losses on student debt
. That’s one more win for the Plutocracy.


What’s
the plan, Congress
?


In
the 20th century, no other institution could say that it had a greater ability
to raise people out of poverty or, to have contributed more to the development
of a robust American middle class than higher education.


For nearly 30 years,
medical care and higher education costs have risen at rates substantially above the official rate of inflation. Since the Clinton administration,
Americans have agreed that health care is a national policy concern that
warrants serious public consideration.


Yet,
we fail to give higher education the same degree of attention, notwithstanding
the rising costs to students and families.


These kids
who have to borrow to get their bachelor’s degree will start out their working
lives broke, and they will stay broke as long as there is student loan debt to
repay. It will handicap their contribution to the economy for years to come. It
will delay their starting a 401k, or other lifetime savings program.


We used to talk about being wage slaves. While that is still true, this generation of students is on
track to becoming America’s first debt-slave generation.

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PBS, WNET Should Adjust Moral Compass

What’s
Wrong Today
:


WNET is the NYC affiliate of PBS. It broadcasts on Channel 13 in the greater
New York area. WNET has a storied history, but it needs to adjust its moral compass, which is starting to point towards money, not
towards true north. WNET has (again) been caught doing the bidding of
plutocrats. From last Friday’s New York Times:


WNET, the New York
City public television broadcaster, said on Friday that it would return a $3.5
million grant it received to sponsor an ambitious project on public pensions in
the face of charges that it solicited inappropriate underwriting for the series


WNET said
production on the planned series, dubbed “Pension
Peril
,” would be suspended indefinitely after journalist David Sirota of PandoDaily revealed the money
was coming from the Laura and John Arnold Foundation (LJAF). Arnold was an oil
trader at the disgraced Enron, who became one of the youngest billionaires in
the US. He is also a member of the WNET Board of Trustees.


Mr. Sirota
reported:


Arnold has been
using massive contributions to politicians, Super PACs, ballot
initiative efforts
,
think
tanks

and local
front groups

to finance a nationwide political campaign aimed at slashing public employees’
retirement benefits…According to its own promotional materials, the Arnold
Foundation is pushing lawmakers in
states across the country “to stop promising a (retirement) benefit” to public
employees.


PandoDaily went on to report
that PBS and WNET had originally approached the foundation: (emphasis by the
Wrongologist)


The foundation’s
spokesperson said PBS executives approached Arnold “with the proposal for the
series, having become aware of LJAF’s interest” in shaping public pension
policy, and moving that policy toward
cutting retirement benefits for public workers


Apparently,
Pension Peril will still be aired on public
television outlets, but the Arnold money will be returned. Pension Peril includes an episode on California public pensions. That segment discusses a ballot
initiative being pushed in the state to roll back public employee pensions − a campaign
being partially funded by, wait for it, John D. Arnold
. The initiative
is run by San Jose Mayor, Chuck Reed (D), and Reed has thanked
“people from the Arnold Foundation” for putting him in touch with other
funders.


That’s not
a clear conflict of interest?


After the Arnold/pensions
relationship became public, PBS and WNET rethought having the Arnold Foundation
provide the funding for the Pension Peril
project. The Times reports that Stephen
Segaller, WNET’s VP for programming, said: (emphasis by the Wrongologist)

We made a mistake,
pure and simple. We all take very, very seriously
any suggestion that there’s a perception
problem
about the integrity of our work or the sources of our funding, and
we came to the conclusion that it’s better to err on the side of caution


He added
that the grant had been solicited with “absolute conviction” that the
foundation was an acceptable funder. In other words, WNET still doesn’t believe
that there was any actual
conflict here — it just believes that there’s “a perception problem”. WNET is
returning the money because of “the optics” — which is to say, because Sirota’s
article came out, and it made both WNET and PBS look bad.


PBS’s
Ombudsman, Michael Getler wrote about the Arnold’s funding:


It
shines a light, once again, on what seems to me to be ethical compromises in
funding arrangements and lack of real transparency for viewers caused, in part,
by the complicated funding demands needed to support public broadcasting, and
in part by managers who make some questionable decisions


Apparently,
WNET’s management issue with the Arnold Foundation deal was not that the
content of the Pension Peril series
was too aligned with corporate interests, rather, it was the “optics” for WNET
and PBS!


This
shows us once again, the cynicism on the right. They have steadily campaigned
for the withdrawal of public funding from PBS since the Reagan administration. But, now that they have gotten the government off the horse, the right is busy saddling up.


This is not the first time that WNET
has had a problem with politically active plutocrats. In May, 2013, Jane
Mayer of the New Yorker wrote that two PBS-affiliated
documentaries featuring the Koch
Family
came under pressure to be censored and edited due to fear that Charles
and David Koch, who, in addition to being the primary funders of conservative political
causes, are major donors to public media, would withdraw support.


David Koch has contributed to cultural and medical institutions including
Lincoln Center. In the 1980s, he expanded his charitable contributions to media,
donating $23 million to public television over the years. In 1997, he began serving as a trustee
of Boston’s public-broadcaster, WGBH, and he subsequently also became a trustee of WNET.


One film,
by Academy Award winning director Alex Gibney, Park Avenue: Money, Power &
The American Dream
, received close scrutiny and was almost pulled, before
some edits and a compromise
format that included a rebuttal conversation at the program’s conclusion by Koch
and Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY) were agreed by the producers and WNET.


Another
project, Citizen
Koch
,
a documentary about the Citizens
United
Supreme Court decision, was subject to editorial arm-twisting by
WNET representatives. Subsequently, WNET prevailed on ITVS, an independent
film production company based in San Francisco to withdraw funding of Citizen
Koch.


The film production
ultimately collapsed, and the producers’ statement said:


ITVS
backed out of the partnership because they came to fear the reaction our film
would provoke. David Koch, whose political activities are featured in the film,
happens to be a public-television funder and a trustee of both WNET and WGBH.
This wasn’t a failed negotiation or a divergence of visions; it was censorship,
pure and simple…It’s the very thing our film is about—public servants bowing to
pressures, direct or indirect, from high-dollar donors


David
Koch was not mollified, and he resigned from the WNET Board of Trustees in May,
2013. Now, you could say that WNET is standing up to the plutocrats, since
David Koch was lost as a funding source, but consider the overriding issues:


First,
that public television is just another commercial mass media venture, one where
its advertisers are rich individuals and their foundations, instead of corporations
serving the mass market. As such, they have become very adept at creating programming
which represents the interests of their funding sources.


Second,
the management of WNET has lost focus on what independent journalism requires, tilting
toward the effort to fund its programming, instead the work of informing the
public.


He who pays the piper
will always call the tune. Soon, PBS could stand for the Plutocrat’s
Broadcasting Service.

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Tom Friedman Is Wrong (Again)

What’s
Wrong Today
:


Tom
Friedman is writing about economics again. In his Sunday Friedtastic Op-ed in the NYT, Mr. Friedman can’t contain his
enthusiasm for Silicon Valley and for “start-up America”. He begins
by telling readers:


THE most striking thing about visiting
Silicon Valley these days is how many creative ideas you can hear in just 48
hours


After
giving a few examples, he says about San Jose’s entrepreneurs: (emphasis by the
Wrongologist)


What they all have
in common is they wake up every day and ask: ‘What are the biggest trends in
the world, and how do I best invent/reinvent my business to thrive from them?’ They’re fixated on creating abundance,
not redividing scarcity, and they respect no limits on imagination. No idea
here is ‘off the table’


Dean
Baker
, in his reaction to the Friedman column:


Yeah, it must have
taken some brilliant Silicon Valley imagination for Apple to sue Samsung to get its competitor’s cell phones
off the market. In places that are behind the curve they would think that they
have to produce a better cell phone, but in Silicon Valley they have the
government just remove their competitor’s products from the shelves. See, no
idea is off the table


If Mr. Friedman read
the business
section
of the Times, he would
have known that Apple scoured the world for investment opportunities for their
billions and came up with a plan to buy back $40 billion of their stock.



Great innovation,
indeed.



Of
course great ideas are coming out of Silicon Valley. But they create very few jobs. In January, the Wrongologist wrote:


Google
has 47,756 employees, Facebook has 5,790. Microsoft has 100,000, Amazon has
109,000. Apple has 80,300. That totals to 342,846 full and part-time jobs.
That’s just 10% more than GE, which has 305,000 by itself.


So,
the winners in Silicon Valley are a really just a few founders and their Venture Capital partners. After that, it’s
a few programmers, many of them immigrants on H1b visas. Just how many manicurists
and hair stylists, wait staff, gardeners and maids can the 11 Instagram
creators actually employ?

So let’s stop overemphasizing the billions on the table from innovative products developed in
Silicon Valley. Without a way to include the tens of millions of unemployed or
underemployed Americans, Silicon
Valley’s innovation will prop up the stock market, but it won’t prop up the
middle class
.


Indeed,
all the techno-wow profits rolled up to 0.01% hasn’t helped and will not help
the middle class. All it did was move those 11 Instagram founders (among
others) to the uber-class.


The real
story in Mr. Friedman’s Op-ed is his calling out Washington for not supporting
the trade deals that corporations love. It is hardly surprising that Friedman
would strongly support the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the
Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Pact (TTIP). He calls them “next
generation” trade agreements:


that [will] even the
playing field for us by requiring higher environmental and labor standards from
our trading partners and more access for our software and services


Then Mr. Friedman
quotes the Economist:


Studies suggest
that proposed deals with Asia and Europe could generate global gains of $600
billion a year, with $200 billion of that going to America


Does Mr. Friedman
think these numbers are for next year, or for 10 years out? He doesn’t tell us. For those who actually like their numbers to have a context, these projections are for somewhere around the middle of the next
decade when world GDP will be around $160 trillion and US GDP will be close to
$30 trillion.


That puts
the projected gains (if they are real) at a bit less than 0.4% of world GDP and
0.7% of US GDP. Not trivial, but hardly
the difference between a booming and a stagnant economy
. In the
case of the US, the boost to GDP growth would be around 0.05 percentage points.


Hey, the
world is flat, everyone is hyper-connected, and why should facts matter?


Mr.
Friedman’s policy nostrums − multilateral trade agreements and additional
openness to immigration – will tend to expose American workers to more, rather
than less competition. Without simultaneous safeguards, the policies Friedman
favors may not enhance the welfare of American workers.


Dean Baker
wrote that Mr. Friedman makes no pretense of evaluating trade deals based on
evidence. Baker says that Friedman has proudly said just the opposite:  (emphasis by the
Wrongologist)


I [Friedman] was
speaking out in Minnesota — my hometown, in fact — and a guy stood up in the
audience, said, ‘Mr. Friedman, is there any free trade agreement you’d oppose?’
I said, ‘No, absolutely not.’ I said, ‘You know what, sir? I wrote a column
supporting the CAFTA, the Caribbean Free Trade initiative. I didn’t even know what was in it. I just knew two words: free trade.’


The
pursuit of cheap labor abroad has transferred wealth from US workers to
corporations. Mr. Friedman thinks we should import even more foreign workers to
replace the American workers who made our country great. Yet the children of
those American workers are loaded with education debt. They are being priced out of the global market.


The corporate bounty from cheap labor should be taxed, instead of
being tax sheltered by remaining offshore. Low tax rates should go with domestic
hiring at a living wage.


Tom
Friedman is popular because his articles are comforting to high-income metropolitan
elites. He focuses on big ideas, which we all love because of their simplicity.
He does not focus on the economic details, and it’s the details that get you
every time.


Mr.
Friedman raises one great point: Ideas can be tried and are celebrated if
successful in Silicon Valley. In Washington, politicians are afraid not just of
failure, but of imperfection. All ideas are picked apart.

That means that many good ideas cannot even be tried.


Take
Obamacare. The ACA was tried and is far from perfect. But what does the other
party do? It doesn’t promote any ideas that might improve it. It doesn’t suggest
a serious alternative. Instead, it tries to undermine the ACA for political gain.


Think
about it. Almost every important policy issue is treated the same way in
Washington. While in Silicon Valley, failure is treated as a learning
experience.


We’re
waiting, Tom Friedman.
Tell us how Comcast CEO Brian Roberts wakes up every day, reinventing himself
and Comcast’s broadband monopoly service by merging it with Time Warner,
another monopoly cable service, for the non-zero sum benefit of America.


What many Americans ask every day when they wake up, is not how to reinvent
themselves. They ask why the playing field has tilted so much since the last time they reinvented
themselves
.



And when you’re done
asking yourself that, compare the result as you usually do, with those really bright
kids in third world countries, who don’t make as much money and live at a lower
standard. Ask how they are pushing American kids to the margins of
innovation.



Then ask American
multi-national firms why they are OK with that.

 

 

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Sunday Cartoon Blogging – February 16, 2014

Our feel-good
tales about American Exceptionalism have entered a new chapter. People are
starting to talk about the American
Precariat,
particularly, the NYT’s
David Brooks. The term describes people who feel that the ground beneath them
may be crumbling, so says Mr. Brooks:


The American
Precariat seems more hunkered down, insecure, risk averse, relying on friends
and family but without faith in American possibilities. This fatalism is
historically uncharacteristic of America


Reports
are that Europe, that socialist haven of health care for all, may be passing us
(or matching us), in social mobility, and even in their faith in capitalism as
a successful economic model. More from Mr. Brooks:


50% of Americans
over 65 believe America stands above all others as the greatest nation on
earth. Only 27% of Americans ages 18 to 29 believe that. As late as 2003,
Americans were more likely than Italians, Brits and Germans to say the “free
market economy is the best system on which to base the future of the world.” By
2010, they were slightly less likely than those Europeans to embrace capitalism


Capitalism has been a useful and a powerful force. But
left unregulated, it can lead to bad decisions.

Here is today’s homily topic: Capitalism
is like the fisherman who uses dynamite to feed his family. He knows full well
the fish will be all gone before his children grow up, but he doesn’t care.


Cable industry consolidation won’t improve the little
guy’s life. Who cares?

Only way the main stream media covers joblessness:

Obamacare messaging depends on corporate message: (h/t Monty)

Missouri football player tackles NFL:

RIP Sid:

UN censures Vatican to no effect:

Boehner skates on Debt Ceiling increase:

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America’s Slow-Motion Collapse

What’s
Wrong Today
:


The New York Times reports
that employees at the Chattanooga, TN Volkswagen plant voted 712 to 626 on
Friday against joining the United Automobile Workers Union.


The NYT quotes Mike
Jarvis, a VW employee who works on the finishing line:


Look
at what happened to the auto manufacturers in Detroit and how they struggled.
They all shared one huge factor: the UAW…If you look at how the UAW’s
membership has plunged, that shows they’re doing a lot wrong


His belief was that the
UAW had hurt Detroit’s automakers and killed Detroit. He may have been persuaded by Republican
politicians in Tennessee as well as some outside conservative groups, who made
sure that the plant’s workers heard plenty of anti-union arguments.

  • Governor
    Bill Haslam, (R), warned that auto part suppliers would not locate in the
    Chattanooga area if the plant was unionized
  • Sen.
    Bob Corker (R-TN) said Volkswagen executives had told him that the plant would
    add a new production line, making SUVs, if the workers rejected the UAW
  • State
    Senator Bo Watson (R), who represents a suburb of Chattanooga, warned that the
    Republican-controlled legislature was unlikely to approve further subsidies to
    Volkswagen if the workers embraced the UAW, a threat that might discourage the
    company from expanding. Mr. Watson also attacked Volkswagen for taking a neutral-to-positive stance
    toward the UAW saying its approach was:
unfair, unbalanced, and, quite frankly, un-American in the traditions of American labor campaigns
  • Grover
    Norquist, the anti-tax crusader, helped underwrite a new group, the Center for
    Worker Freedom that put up 13
    billboards in Chattanooga, warning that the city might become the next Detroit
    if the workers voted for the union

Perhaps this pressure
made the majority of workers believe that they were voting in their own interest
by rejecting union membership. Mr. Corker had asserted that a union victory
would make Volkswagen less competitive and hurt workers’ living standards.


Volkswagen said that
it was neutral on the union vote, although they wished to implement a German-style works
council, a committee of managers and blue-collar and white-collar workers who
develop factory policies, on issues like work schedules and vacations.
Volkswagen, which has unions and works councils at all of its 105 other plants
worldwide, views such councils as crucial for improving morale and cooperation
and increasing productivity.


US Labor law experts say it would be illegal for VW to have a works council
unless workers first voted to have a union.


What we have here is the triumph
of political marketing over union marketing
. Did the politicians interfere with
what is arguably an internal company issue; whether to organize a company
union? That will be decided over the next few weeks as the UAW looks at whether
it can file and win an NLRB complaint alleging improper influence over the
voting process.


Perhaps Charles Pierce
summed up the Tennessee situation best when he tweeted:


When
people vote to be powerless, even when their employers want to help empower
them, there’s really no place to go. #uaw


Broadening
this out, the idea that Americans are not responsible for what is happening in
America is a big cop-out. Who is responsible if we as individuals are not
responsible? Should we simply blame the moneyed interests? Ian
Welsh
observed last December that the reason America can’t have nice things
is, well, Americans:


The pathetic
attempts of Americans to pretend they’re good people and don’t deserve what’s
happening to them are just that, pathetic. Yeah, some of them are good,
but not enough. It’s just that simple.

Take some goddamn responsibility.

Until Americans get
that they are responsible, they will not also get that they can change
things. If Americans are powerless, if it’s “not their fault” that also
means they can’t fix it.


We are in a
slow-motion collapse. While
it is still theoretically possible we can save our society, the odds are low. The
fight is not yet pointless, but it is clear that since 1980, the center has
collapsed. It is difficult to organize dissent, it is difficult to fund a
campaign that will succeed against the big interests that dominate our culture
and economy. If this doesn’t change, soon, everyone will be on their own, doing
what they can for themselves. Who wins if that happens? Corporations, the 1% and the political entrepreneurs.


And our
political entrepreneurs continue to apologize for the American public, making the
case that that Americans both individually and as a group are not complicit in
America’s decline
. “It’s not your responsibility” really means “don’t pay
attention, don’t try and change it, get whatever you can.”


Instead, blame
the immigrants, the liberals, the poor, and the undereducated. They are the
reason America is failing, not you. Well, that’s simply Bullshit.  


Those
people standing behind the cash registers, just trying to get by are as much to
blame for the state of our country as those of us who think we know better.


The
Economist
had an article
in 2011 about Earnest Dichter, the Austrian immigrant who revolutionized marketing
in the US:  


Every
week seems to yield a new discovery about how bad people are at making
decisions. Humans, it turns out, are impressionable, emotional and irrational.
We buy things we don’t need, often at arbitrary prices and for silly reasons


Most
of the theory behind this practice of helping Americans work against our
interests comes from Dichter. Dichter observed in 1960, in his book “The Strategy of Desire”:


You
would be amazed to find how often we mislead ourselves, regardless of how smart
we think we are, when we attempt to explain why we are behaving the way we do


Welcome
to the wild west of capitalism.


From
Ronald Reagan to Karl Rove to Corker in Chattanooga, we have been encouraged to mislead
ourselves, regardless of how smart we think we are.


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Some Pilots Make Minimum Wage

What’s
Wrong Today
:


The Wall Street Journal reported
yesterday that  there is a shortage of airline
pilots. The reason is the rest of the story: (emphasis by the Wrongologist)


A
widening shortage of US airline pilots is spotlighting the structure of an
industry built on starting salaries for regional-airline pilots that are roughly equivalent to fast-food wages


The WSJ reports that:


Starting pilot
salaries at 14 US regional carriers average $22,400 a year, according to the
largest US pilots union. Some smaller carriers pay as little as $15,000 a year.
The latter is about what a full-time worker would earn annually at the
$7.25-an-hour federal minimum wage


In fact, Republic
Airways Holdings Inc., one of the nation’s largest regional carriers, said it
would have to remove 27 of its 243 aircraft from operation because it couldn’t find enough qualified pilots. While regional
carriers are a key link in the US air-travel system, the big airlines, (whose
pilots’ salaries are much higher), outsource about half of their domestic flights
to these smaller partners in order to save money. The big carriers set the flight
schedules and fares, sell the tickets and buy the fuel, which leaves their
regional counterparts little room to raise wages.


This
structure has prevailed for years, but the WSJ
points out that federal rules implemented in August have brought matters to a
head by increasing the minimum flight experience required for most
commercial-airline pilots to 1,500 hours from 250 hours. The new law has
sharply increased the time and expense required to become a commercial pilot,
rendering today’s starting wages even less attractive and crimping the supply of would-be aviators.


Training
to become a commercial pilot can cost more than $100,000. To get the additional
flying time they now need, pilots can work as instructors or pay for the
additional time. Miami-based Eagle Jet International Inc. charges trainees $57 an hour to be co-pilots on its cargo flights,
which are under a different regulatory regime than passenger operations.


The WSJ
brings us a human interest story as part of their report:


Richard Papp, 26, a
third-year pilot at ExpressJet [is] trying to raise his 2-year-old daughter on
a $29,000-a-year salary. “This was a lifelong dream,” he said.
“But if I could do it all over again, I’d do something different.”


Here is a
thought experiment: Let’s say these guys or gals making minimum wage for a
regional airline make 600 flights a year, (2 flights/day) carrying an average
of 60 passengers each, or 36,000 passengers for the year.


That means
the pilot makes about 42 cents per
passenger flown
. Now think about what you pay for the average flight…


Far too
often, skilled worker shortages are blamed on the low quality of our workforce
or our education system. 


There are serious
barriers to receiving a quality education for many in our country, but there probably
is an ample supply of Americans who would like to be airplane pilots. The problem is, if you need to hire a truly
skilled worker, you can’t expect to pay them something close to the minimum
wage


Or, if you
do pay them minimum wage, do the rest of us a favor and don’t go around
complaining about how no matter how hard you look, you just can’t find the
workers you need. That’s a fallacy that has served US corporate interests for
decades, enabling US businesses to slash wages, hire immigrants under the H1-B program,
or move jobs offshore.


Most
Americans understand that they can no longer afford to underwrite the cost of a
quality higher education in return for receiving low starting wages. Most Americans
have to take whatever job they can get, knowing that the whole “upward
mobility” thing is over. Most politicians keep pushing the idea that we need to start training Americans for the skilled jobs of today. Um, like airline pilots?


Maybe
the FAA should require each airline to post the salary of the pilot on the cockpit
door for each flight.


Then
customers could decide if they want to fly on a plane piloted by somebody
making the minimum wage.

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